The Disappearing Desktop - It's Real This Time

Dan Shafer revdan at danshafer.com
Sat Nov 12 19:19:48 EST 2005


 From which experience i conclude:

(a) AJAX and RIAs are not a panacea
(b) $2 billion acconting firms IT shops probably don't embrace new  
technologies in the first place (having seen *that* up close and  
personal)
(c) Moving information from one Web service to another is often  
difficult because of all the impenetrable crap put in the way for  
"security" in the first place
(d) This technology has a ways to go.


On Nov 12, 2005, at 2:34 PM, Sivakatirswami wrote:

> The CIO of a 2 billion dollar accounting firm that handles movie  
> and media events accounting for the likes of Warner Brothers and  
> Disney, is on our team... he was just here in my office yesterday,  
> explaining to me to be "very cautious" about using of web services.  
> Warner Brother's forced them into it and he says the kajillion  
> lines of code that have evolved from this decision... just to do  
> the simple of things, where all that is really happening is a very  
> little bit of data is moving via an XML protocol from one machine  
> to another, is costing everybody, big time...he said "don't go there!"
>
> just FYI.
>
>
> On Nov 09, 2005, at 1:38 PM, Dan Shafer wrote:
>
>> I almost labeled this post off-topic since our purpose here is to  
>> discuss how to use Revolution. But I decided on balance that it  
>> affects everyone here, so I left off the [OT].
>>
>> I've just posted a blog entry at http://www.eclecticity.com/. 
>> 3c66aaec that I believe should be of interest to everyone who is  
>> in the programming universe today. I've been leaning in this  
>> direction for years, drawn strongly to it for the past few months,  
>> and have now tipped over the edge. Some will think I'm over the  
>> edge, alright, but perhaps not in the way I intended.
>>
>> My prediction -- based on a lot of evidence and clinched by two  
>> leaked Microsoft memos that you really need to read (they're  
>> indirectly linked in my blog entry) -- is that the days of the  
>> desktop app are indeed finally numbered. At best, we will see  
>> desktops reduced to being containers for ultra-thin clients and  
>> specialized Internet browsing tools while *everything else* runs  
>> as a (probably ad-supported) Web service.
>>
>> Yeah, I know. You've heard this before. And there's a lot of  
>> skepticism here and elsewhere on the Net. But Ray Ozzie's no idiot  
>> and Microsoft's not ignorant or stupid (whatever else they may  
>> well be).
>>
>> Comments welcome, though I'd appreciate it if you'd register for  
>> my blog (it's free) and post them there even if you choose to echo  
>> them here. This issue is much bigger than Rev but it affects  
>> everyone on this list, IMNSHO.
>>
>> -.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.- 
>> .-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-
>> Dan Shafer
>> Technology Visionary - Technology Assessment - Documentation
>> "Looking at technology from every angle"
>> http://www.eclecticity.com
>>
>>
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>
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Dan Shafer, Information Product Consultant and Author
http://www.shafermedia.com
Get my book, "Revolution: Software at the Speed of Thought"
 From http://www.shafermediastore.com/tech_main.html





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