not really OT: The Coming Software Apocalypse

[Richard Gaskin]

Yes, it very much supports your point.

What tickled me about it was his attempt to quantify the challenge of 
keeping a large-scale conspiracy under wraps.

Personally, I wouldn't have chosen the Snowden story as the baseline; 
too much still unknown and relatively little corroborated.  Iran-Contra 
seems a better case, given the wealth of documentation complete enough 
to have led to multiple convictions.

Bringing this back OT. maybe there's an app that needs to be made:

Enter the date the conspiracy is said to have taken place, an estimate 
of the maximum number of people likely to know about it, and then it 
would crunch the numbers to estimate the likelihood that the described 
event actually managed to remain a secret all this time.

:)

-- 
  Richard Gaskin


Bob Sneidar wrote:
 > Nice article, but his example of the Snowden revelations actually
 > proves my point.
 >
 > Bob S
 >
 >
 >> On Oct 3, 2017, at 12:20 , Richard Gaskin wrote:
 >>
 >> Bob Sneidar wrote:
 >>
 >> > Well then the REAL miracle to the moon launch is how Nasa either
 >> > deceived the thousands of people who worked on the project, and
 >> > keeps them deceived to this day, or else were able to keep all
 >> > those thousands of people from talking or writing a book.
 >>
 >> Arithmetically unlikely:
 >>
 >> 
https://phys.org/news/2016-01-equation-large-scale-conspiracies-quickly-reveal.html
 >>
 >> --