[OT] Flash is NOT Dead

Chipp Walters chipp at altuit.com
Tue Aug 2 17:56:34 EDT 2011


Sorry to spoil the celebration, but Flash still has a strong role to play on the Internet, albeit not with iOS. Google has graciously given Apple a huge head start in the tablet wars, but to call them 'over' would be as silly as saying Flash is dead. I seem to recall reading recently that over 70% of online videos are compiled with Flash. 

I know it was a pleasant surprise when I clicked on a link on my new Android Tablet and it went to a website and played the header Flash animation, instead of showing a blank div.

Up until recently, Android tablets could no way compete with iPads. That's now changing. Just as those who cried "Apple is dead," there will be others shouting from the peanut galleries about Flash being doomed. 

How ironic to be having this discussion in an LC forum where we all only wish we could have one tenth the market penetration of Flash.

Chipp Walters
CEO, Shafer Walters Group, Inc

On Aug 2, 2011, at 11:12 AM, "Lynn Fredricks" <lfredricks at proactive-intl.com> wrote:

>> It would appear Flash is dead or certainly critically ill. 
>> Happened much quicker than even I expected.
>> 
>> http://www.telecomtv.com/comspace_newsDetail.aspx?n=47914&id=e
>> 9381817-0593-417a-8639-c4c53e2a2a10
>> 
>> And all those people who thought banning Flash would be the 
>> end of Apple, and that it was stifling competition. I can't 
>> count the number of people who've told me they 'must have' 
>> Flash so I've said 'don't buy an iPhone/iPad', but they still 
>> did. Maybe that's why Adobe gave up so quickly, even they saw 
>> the people who wanted Flash weren't prepared to support it?
> 
> Hey Kay - wow, that site has an annoying pop up. If you don't want to join,
> that pop up doesn't go away and won't let you read the article.
> 
> Adobe putting out an HTML 5 animation product doesn't mean anything about
> winning or losing. They are, very wisely, putting out a tool because web
> interactivity is a market where they already have a strong foothold. Not
> doing anything is worse. If Adobe can sell you yet another product, it is a
> win - and they have a huge user base to sell to.  There are some other HTML
> 5 products out there already, but its in Adobe's interest that you buy from
> Adobe instead of them. These companies groom sets of customers to sell more
> stuff to, and if you fall outside of that target customer profile, they
> really don't care.
> 
> Adobe hasn't given up on Flash at all - they are spending time on
> developments which can still differentiate Flash from what you can achieve
> with HTML 5, such as Molehill:
> http://labs.adobe.com/technologies/flashplatformruntimes/features/stage3d.ht
> ml.
> 
> Blocking Flash from iOS has hurt Apple (a little) because its given the
> Android phone and tablet market a gift, but you are right - so many people
> do not care. The details of the arguments surrounding Apple's walled garden
> strategy, on top of other developer focused weirdness we've all experienced
> at one time or the othe working with Apple, is just static noise to your
> average iPhone user. 
> 
> One thing you can bank on is that people are more than willing to not look
> beyond the most immediate and self gratifying. I mean, how else can you
> explain the success of strategies that "reward" you with a sort of average
> discount for 12 months, but still charge you a much higher price for the
> remainder of a 36 month contract (ie cable companies...)?
> 
> I see two companies with very smart people coming up with very far reaching
> strategies. Very interesting times we live in.
> 
> Best regards,
> 
> Lynn Fredricks
> President
> Paradigma Software
> http://www.paradigmasoft.com
> 
> Valentina SQL Server: The Ultra-fast, Royalty Free Database Server 
> 
> 
> 
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