The Disappearing Desktop - It's Real This Time

Dan Shafer revdan at danshafer.com
Wed Nov 16 22:46:16 EST 2005


I think not.

Pricing models will change. We'll see pay-per-use, pay-per-month, pay- 
per-file, pay-per-K and other similar models. When it's not necessary  
for the manufacturer to package, distribute, sell, track, upgrade and  
otherwise deal with thousands and thousands of copies of the software  
out there -- and when piracy becomes all but extinct thanks to the  
new models -- software prices will dive while profit margins remain  
high.

At least that's how I see it.


On Nov 16, 2005, at 7:10 PM, Charles Hartman wrote:

>
> On Nov 16, 2005, at 9:43 PM, Alex Tweedly wrote:
>
>> I don't believe that a "Web-Photoshop" would need to satisfy the  
>> digital photography professional (mapping professionals aren't  
>> using Google Maps !). I think to get a commercially successful web- 
>> based photography editing app you need to satisfy 75% of the  
>> population - who start out with 3-6M-pixel photos compressed down  
>> to 1/2Mb JPEGs, not the pros using 32Mb RAW images,.
>
>
> Is one implication that, in the brave new web-app world,  
> professional-grade applications -- because nobody but professionals  
> will be using them -- will get really, really expensive? Yes, many  
> are now; but many aren't. Jarhead was edited, as I understand it,  
> by whatshisname the great film editor using Final Cut Pro. Pro- 
> level audio software, though not cheap, is within reach for an  
> amateur. Will that stop being true? Don't like it.
>
> Charles Hartman
>
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Dan Shafer
Technology Visionary - Technology Assessment - Documentation
"Looking at technology from every angle"
http://www.eclecticity.com





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